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Tuesday, October 15, 2013

Gold Cycles

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Gold cycles
The cycle window is now open as we’re within 72 hours of October 18th. Today is exactly 180 degrees (1/2 year or 2 medium term cycles) from the April 15th low of 1322. We spent most of September at 1322 and now our move to the next key number of 1272 has both the Friday and Monday close at 1272.60 and 1272.80. Since we have not closed below this number a turn from here is possible. However, the SET UP we warned about last week at the circled areas is akin to the crash of April. We’ve already dropped 93 dollars from the October high (1353 to 1260) so the scenario was already full-filled last week. The question of whether it gets deeper first this week before we bottom cannot be eliminated. We have a dual inversion as in April of 2013 and it has occurred at exactly 180% degrees so we know that it’s a potentially major turn point for gold. That turn can be a blast higher from here but we can’t eliminate further downside like we saw in April to develop during this week. Indeed the control boyz can do what they want as they have the debt deal to use as an excuse no matter what happens on the decision. If it’s agreed to extend it ---they’ll use that for the excuse and if there is no deal, they’ll use that. They don’t care what the news is –either way they’ll spin it to make it fit the gold move---and whether it’s up or down or down first than reversing to up, the story will be made to fit the gold move. That is why although we report events and news, it is important to always understand that the news can be RETRO FITTED to whatever happens in price. That is why we use technical analysis and charts. Put it this way. We have BEEN SAYING FOR A WHILE NOW THAT OCTOBER WOULD BE ONE OF THE MAJOR TIME POINTS TO WATCH FOR QUITE A LONG WHILE. AND WHAT DO WE GET ---BUT A DUAL CYCLE INVERSION RIGHT IN OCTOBER WHERE THE DEBT DEAL COMES DOWN TO THE LAST 48 HOURS AT EXACTLY WHERE THE SHORT TERM CYCLES CULMINATE WITH THE WINDOW OF THE MEDIUM TERM CYCLES EXACTLY TWO MEDIUM TERM POINTS (26 WEEKS OR 180 DEGREES) FROM THE LAST CRASH LOW. WHAT DO YOU THINK THE ODDS OF THAT PRECISION HAPPENING IS IN TIME CYCLES? AND HOW ABOUT 1322? THE EXACT APRIL 15TH LOW? LOK AT HOW MUCH TIME WE HAVE SPENT THERE RECENTLY FIGHTING TO HOLD IT.
Gold cycles

If we can’t hold the Friday lows, then the 1220-1225 (1222) OR the 1165-1175 area (1172) are the two major support points on a monthly basis we would look at next. The red lines cross that area this week. The next turn date is October 18th (plus or minus 72 hours).
If gold were to crash this week it would offer a cycle potential that completes this portion of the selloff. Thus if we close below 1270 it is possible that we could be heading towards 1220-1225 or 1222-1232 next. In the case of a new yearly low then the 1165-1175 area or 1162-1172 could be an extreme potential and that would be a consideration as a final low.
If we don’t have a major event that develops on the up or downside, then it is possible that the TIME IS NOT YET RIGHT. But the setup in both time and price is a major consideration no matter what ends up happening.
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TO BUY OR SELL GOLD OR ANY OTHER INVESTMENT VEHICLE LISTED. 
 Do your own due diligence. 
No one knows tomorrow's price or circumstance. 
 I intend to portray my thoughts and ideas on the subject which may s be used as a tool for the reader. 
I do not accept responsibility for being incorrect in my speculations on market trend. 
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