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Wednesday, June 4, 2014

Gold Trend June 4, 2014


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Long Term ~ Bearish - Need a monthly close above 1800 to confirm the bull market final phase underway.
Medium Term ~ Neutral – We need to close above 1272 on the last day of May to avoid a bearish reading. BUT IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE FOR JUNE TO PROVIDE THE LOW FOR THE YEAR IN GOLD. Keep that in mind and don’t become too discouraged if we do close below 1272.
Intermediate Term ~ bearish– NEED two closes above 1277 in order to go back to neutral. Need close above 1312 and 1312-1322 for bullish.
Short Term ~ bearish–WINDOW CLOSES FRIDAY FOR THE NEXT TWO WEEK TREND. A CLOSE ABOVE 1277 IS NEEDED IF GOLD IS TO REVERSE back to bullish. OTHERWISE, 1222-1240 CAN BE NEXT TARGET.

Initial Resistance 1254-1265 2nd tier 1272-1277
Initial Support 1234-1241 and 2nd tier 1222-1226
 Gold Chart
The 1235-1241 area is where gold has been since Monday.  That’s daily support.  IF we lose it, Weekly support is the 1206-1227 and on closing basis 1222.  Monthly is at 1172-1180.  Resistance is 1254-1265 and 1277.

With Wednesday here, it possible that gold bounces higher (especially after 7 down days) but even with that we have ADP report (which has been way off the mark to NFP) and if it does bounce, we still have to deal with NFP on Friday.   That usually means the upside will become limited on Thursday until Friday morning.
  
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