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Thursday, January 16, 2014

Gold Trend Jan 17/2014

Follow The XM Bull
 Long Term ~ Neutral - need a monthly close above 1800 to confirm the bull market final phase underway
Medium Term ~ Bearish - Need a close above 1321-1370 to neutralize
Intermediate Term ~ Neutral – neutral on weekly close above 1222 - resistance-1272
Short Term ~ BULLISH –   The 1255 area is resistance and 1262-1272. 

Initial Resistance 1244-1254 2nd tier 1272-1275
Initial Support 1222-1232 and 2nd tier 1208-1214


Last nights update listed resistance at 1244-1254 and the high was 1243.90 – support was listed at 1222-1232 and the low was 1237.
It was a very quiet day where we held in a very tight range. 
Let’s see what Friday brings.  It’s a turn point day---at least the odds favor it.

Gold Short Term
The first band of support is still the mini blue channel in the 1225-1235 regions for gold on Friday.  There’s minor support near 1210-1214 but the next major support is still the 1180-1190 area.  Resistance returns to the 1244-1254 area on Friday and then 1262-1267.
Gold’s pullbacks have held the 200 hour green moving average so 1st support is that area along with the price range where the mini blue channel is between 1225-1235.  That’s the odds favored 1st pullback zone at the moment.  We can still go either way as we enter Friday.
gold hourly price chart
If we break above 1255-1258 the next target is 1262-1272 range.  We should see support on Thursday in the 1225-1235 area. The medium term trend of gold still has a significant chance of providing further upside as we near the end of the month and in February.  Up until the bear market correction started the Chinese New Year was providing a good launch pad for gold at the end of January.  That will be the next factor to watch and see if the bull trend has returned for gold.  From a seasonal standpoint the first half of January is up and the 2nd half is usually down.  So if we get a pullback into month’s end it doesn’t mean the trend is still down on a medium term basis.
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YOU SHOULD NOT TAKE ANY MATERIAL posted on this BLOG AS RECOMMENDATIONS 
TO BUY OR SELL GOLD OR ANY OTHER INVESTMENT VEHICLE LISTED. 
 Do your own due diligence. 
No one knows tomorrow's price or circumstance. 
 I intend to portray my thoughts and ideas on the subject which may s be used as a tool for the reader. 
I do not accept responsibility for being incorrect in my speculations on market trend. 
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