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Monday, September 29, 2014

Gold Trend Sept 30, 2014


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Long Term ~ Bearish- Need a monthly close above 1800 to confirm the bull market final phase underway. Need a monthly close above 1560 to neutralize the trend.
Medium Term ~ Neutral/bearish– The failure on gold’s part to close above the moving averages on a monthly basis (March, April, May, July, August) has left the downside open to lower Price potential.
Intermediate Term ~ Bearish– Need a close back above 1243 for neutral.
Short Term ~ Bearish-Gold cycles due to turn this week.

Initial Resistance 1222-1233 2nd tier 1243-1248
Initial Support 1202-1209 2nd tier 1172-1180


Hourly Gold Chart
The main channel is the big black dotted lines. Inside that channel we have smaller resistance lines that need to be overcome to favor the trend turning back up on the short to intermediate term. An intermediate turn would lead to the upper black dotted channel line. The others are the short term points that must be overcome if we are to complete the intermediate turn higher.
We’ve got to get back above that red channel line & the black channel line to overcome first resistance (1227-1233). Additional resistance is now 1247-1257. The trend remains down but a turn up is due now in short term cycles (Sept 24 – plus or minus 72 hours). We have to get back above 1222 on a closing basis at a MINIMUM. As you can see this week has been dominated by the trades at 1222 and where the control boyz are trying to keep the market under. The green 200 hour moving average has now arrived at 1222 also. Odds favor gold is on a bounce higher with a 1227-1232 target or 1247-1260.
Gold Hourly Price Chart with Support and Resistance Lines
CYCLES
The medium term cycle has also reached its ideal time (Sept 23rd – plus or minus 2.5 weeks).
Gold is weak and remains vulnerable. If we lose that lower thick black dotted line, we’re looking at 1155-1180. If we can get above 1230, then 1240-1247 comes in play. The next short term cycle is due Oct 8th – Plus or minus 72 hours)
Gold Cycles Price Chart with Support and Resistance Lines

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